Preview & Game-Day Thread: Oklahoma State vs. Texas Tech

Back to Big 12 play.

Game Info

Good Guys: Texas Tech Red Raiders (8-2, 1-1)
Bad Guys: Oklahoma State Cowboys (6-2, 0-2)
When to Watch: Saturday, January 2nd @ 3:00 p.m.
Where to Watch: United Supermarkets Arena | Lubbock, Texas
How to Watch: ESPN+
How to Listen: 97.3 FM | Affiliates | TuneIn App
The Line: Texas Tech -8

Advanced Stats

KenPom 12 47
KP AdjO 63 64
KP AdjD 1 25
T-Rank 7 61
T-Rank O 67 80
T-Rank D 1 50
Haslemetric 8 69


POINT GUARD Mac McClung (6-2/185) 14.4 / 3.0*
SHOOTING GUARD Jamarius Burton (6-4/205) 4.9 / 2.4
SMALL FORWARD Terrence Shannon, Jr. (6-6/210) 13.0 / 4.0
POWER FORWARD Micah Peavy (6-7/215) 6.3 / 3.3
CENTER Marcus Santos-Silva (6-7/245) 8.6 / 6.9
SIXTH MAN Kyler Edwards (6-4/195) 9.2 / 3.1*
SEVENTH MAN Kevin McCullar (6-6/195) 11.0 / 3.0
EIGHTH MAN Nimari Burnett (6-4/195) 5.7 / 1.9
NINTH MAN Tyreek Smith (6-7/220) 3.4 / 2.4
TENTH MAN Chibuzo Agbo (6-7/215) 2.1 / 1.1
ELEVENTH MAN Clarence Nadolny (6-3/190) 1.9 / 0.8
TWELFTH MAN Vladislov Goldin (7-0/240) 3.4 / 1.8
THIRTEENTH MAN Avery Benson (6-4/195) 2.0 / 1.3
POINT GUARD Isaac Likekele (6-5/215) 10.1 / 3.8*
SHOOTING GUARD Avery Anderson III (6-3/170) 7.2 / 3.2
SMALL FORWARD Keylan Boone (6-8/200) 6.1 / 6.8
POWER FORWARD Cade Cunningham (6-8/220) 19.1 / 3.8*
CENTER Matthew Moncrieffe (6-7/215) 8.3 / 4.4
SIXTH MAN Bryce Williams (6-2/180) 7.1 / 2.4
SEVENTH MAN Rondel Walker (6-4/170) 8.5 / 2.1
EIGHTH MAN Kalib Boone (6-9/210) 6.9 / 4.0
NINTH MAN Ferron Flavors, Jr. (6-3/190) 6.0 / 1.1
TENTH MAN Bernard Kouma (6-10/240) 0.6 / 0.6

* Assists.

Starting 5

1. Stats. Statistically, Oklahoma State isn’t much different than what they were last year. An offense near the 80th percentile and defense around 50th. That’s just statistically and I would tell you that the offense is probably better because Cunningham can create his own shot without needing anyone else. Still though, the Cowboys are good for 152nd in eFG% and are decent in not turning the ball over, 77th. So yeah, they’re just sort of middling. Defensively, they don’t necessarily shine anywhere either. They don’t force a ton of turnovers, they don’t limit offensive rebounds, and they are the 88th best defensive eFG%. Where things get tricky for Texas Tech is Oklahoma State is great in limiting 2-point shots, but are 180th in 3-point shots, which is not Texas Tech’s current forte. They are also pretty terrific at limiting free throws, 54th in the nation.

2. Scouting. This is the Cade Cunningham Show, he’s been terrific offensively, but he does have things that he needs to work on. His biggest strength has been that he scores and he’s a really effective passer. Where he needs work is anything close to the basket (other than dunks . . . obviously), but generally speaking, he makes 48% of his 2-point shots. Likekele is also very good offensively, doesn’t have the ball in his hands very much, but maybe he should. Walker, Boone, Williams, and Flavors are the main 3-point shooters, but they really don’t shoot very well at all. Only Williams shoots above 30%, so if a ton of shots are coming from the 3-point line, but not being made, then that’s a problem. Kalib Boone is good offensively and has a terrific block rate so watch out for that.

3. How They Match Up. I have adjusted the starting lineups, with Burton starting and Edwards coming off the bench. I’ve got McCullar as the 7th man, but we’ll see where that goes. The great thing is that Texas Tech does have a lot of players to throw at Cunningham, from Peavy, to Shannon, to McCullar, but Oklahoma State has similar athletes to throw at Texas Tech. They’re similar in that they both employ that mid-range guy quite a bit.

4. Tweet of the Day.

5. Official Site. The official site has their preview right here:

No. 13 Texas Tech returns to Big 12 play by hosting Oklahoma State at 3 p.m. on Saturday at the United Supermarkets in the first game of 2021 and the third on its conference schedule.

The Red Raiders (8-2, 1-1 Big 12) are currently second in the nation by limiting opponents to only 53.7 points per game and are sixth with an 8.4 turnover-margin advantage. Tech’s defense has now held eight of 10 opponents under 60 points and seven under 40 percent shooting following the 79-51 non-conference win over Incarnate Word on Tuesday leading into the matchup against OSU (6-2, 0-2 Big 12).


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