Good morning. With 4 games down, I thought this would be a good time to breathe and create an easy post, which is to take a look at the numbers without comparing them to an opponent.
- The first thing is that with Beta Rank, I did figure out that until a team has played 3 FBS teams then a portion of the 2024 season is still baked into the numbers, so one more game and 2024 will be completely out so we could see some pretty significant movement after the Houston game.
- Regardless, things are definitely pointing up offensively. I don’t know if this is an elite offense (i.e. top 10), but it’s pretty darned good. Key things are the disruptive plays allowed, which is only 16%. That’s pretty good, and the 3rd down rate is stellar.
- Defensively, if things hold up, then this should be a pretty big jump across the board on every category. Again, the disruptive play rate created is twice what it is for what the offense allows.
These figures are probably more telling.
- The BCF Toys still has the offense not so great, but maybe that’s what happens when you play Utah. Not a perfect offensive game and a lot of punts, but that’s okay. The defense gets a top 10 rating.
- I can’t explain ESPN’s FPI.
- Kelly Ford is current data and I think Texas Tech made a huge jump after beating Utah.
- The ESPN QBR is Behren Morton’s QBR and it did take a dive after the Utah game.
- CFB Depth actively grades everything and I do recommend clicking on that site. It’s quality stuff.
- Lastly, SP+ had Texas Tech make a huge jump, surprised the defense didn’t make a bigger jump.
- Big jumps for this team and I know that Shiel Wood things that stats are for losers (or something like that), stats can tell a story about the success of a team and what they do well and what they don’t do well.
Shiel Wood is really good at this.
Something to get you through the bye week 👀#WreckEm | @WarrenCAT pic.twitter.com/QUOWtt7URD
— Texas Tech Football (@TexasTechFB) September 24, 2025
Head coach Joey McGuire joins the Triple Option podcast with Rob Stone, Mark Ingram and Urban Meyer. You can start at the 32 minute mark if you want to skip to that portion.
Lubbock Avalanche-Journal’s Nathan Giese writes that Cole Wisniewski likened the Utah game to him playing for North Dakota State against South Dakota State:
“I think just to prep for those games really, really taught me a lot about how to play college football,” Wisniewski said of the Dakota Marker games, “because you take the prep to another level. There’s not a stone unturned. We’re going into those games and so much film watched, so prep and practices are on another level of intensity.”
While Texas Tech doesn’t have a true conference rival like NDSU and SDSU, Wisniewski said the Red Raiders treated Utah as if it were their arch nemesis. In a sense, the Utes played that role to perfection, thanks in part to the two fan bases clashing online and the unique styles both teams incorporated.