The Morning Stake | 2025.12.01

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Just a couple of football links this morning. Not a ton on the schedule for the week, but the Lady Raiders will host Wichita State on Wednesday, December 3rd.

On the Gridiron

ESPN’s Heather Dinich projects the final 12 with Texas Tech at No. 4:

Why they could be here: The Red Raiders brought the sledgehammer down on West Virginia — in the first half — and could get a bump into the top four after Texas A&M lost to Texas. The committee has been impressed this season with the Red Raiders’ consistent dominance, ranking No. 2 in the country with an average points margin of 30.4 points per game. Texas Tech is No. 3 in the country with an average of 42 points per game while holding its opponents to 12.27 points per game, No. 3 in the country.

Why they could be lower: The Aggies have entered the one-loss debate, and how far they fall will be one of the biggest questions for the committee this week. Texas Tech has the worst loss (to Arizona State) of any of the one-loss contenders. The Red Raiders also trail the Aggies, Oregon and Ole Miss in strength of record and strength of schedule, according to ESPN Analytics.

College Poll Tracker has the results from the latest AP poll and Texas Tech is at No. 5, just 3 points behind Oregon.

ESPN’s Doug Greenberg & David Purdum had this interesting note:

Texas Tech covered the spread in 11 of 12 regular-season games, becoming the first power-conference team to finish the regular season at 11-1 or better against the spread since 2012 Northwestern.

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